India intends to achieve 30% electric vehicle (EV) penetration by 2030. However, as of 2022, EV sales accounted for only 4.98% of total vehicle registrations in the country. The growth of electric two- and three-wheelers, which made up more than 95% of total EV sales in 2022, is crucial to reach this target. Yet, the high upfront cost of these vehicles compared to their internal combustion engine (ICE) counterparts and the lack of affordable financing instruments pose significant challenges.
The World Bank and the NITI Aayog launched the EVOLVE Risk-Sharing Program (EVOLVE-RSP) to address this financial gap in climate finance. The program intends to scale up the adoption of electric two- and three-wheelers to mitigate up to 9.5 million tons of CO₂ emissions over the vehicles’ lifetime and contribute to India’s clean energy transition. The USD 250-million initiative provides low-cost loans and credit guarantees to financial institutions to stimulate private-sector financing for EV adoption.
MSC designed the facility’s structure and onboarded stakeholders. We undertook the following tasks:
- We validated the risks associated with financing electric two- and three-wheelers, assessed de-risking measures, computed expected credit losses, and finalized the terms of the low-cost loan and credit guarantee facility;
- We developed selection criteria, credit models, and due diligence checklists for various borrower segments, which included individual drivers, fleet operators, and leasing companies;
- We designed the criteria to identify and onboard financial institutions and EV manufacturers that participated in the program.
The EVOLVE-RSP is projected to unlock financing for 8 million electric two- and three-wheelers over the next eight to 10 years. The USD 250-million fund is expected to catalyze up to USD 1.83 billion in loans from banks and nonbanking financial institutions.
As part of this engagement, MSC also published a blog on the design of innovative financial structures to finance energy transition in the e-mobility sector. In it, we emphasized the need for a viable blended finance facility (BFF) business model and stronger government-multilateral collaboration.
The Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI) commissioned this project.
Climate change has a drastic impact on agriculture worldwide. Extreme weather, heat stress, and pests reduce crop yields and increase costs. Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) offers a sustainable solution as it integrates resource-efficient technologies with resilience strategies. The Indian government and institutions, such as the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR), the National Bank for Agricultural and Rural Development (NABARD), and the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI), promote CSA. Yet, adoption remains slow due to financial and ecosystem barriers.
Microfinance institutions (MFIs) can play a crucial role in financing CSA adoption with their extensive networks. However, limited awareness, a lack of tailored financial products, and perceived risks hinder MFI investments in CSA. The AGRI3 Fund, IDH, and HSBC India recognized this issue and launched a USD 50-million MFI lending program to support CSA financing, which included partial guarantees. This partnership seeks to help MFIs integrate CSA financing into their portfolios and create a path for smallholder farmers to build climate resilience and maintain agricultural productivity.
As part of this initiative, AGRI3 commissioned MSC to conduct a CSA financing opportunity analysis to help integrate CSA financing into MFIs’ portfolios. MSC conducted a comprehensive landscape study of CSA practices, identified key barriers and enablers for MFI clients’ adoption of CSA practices, assessed financing opportunities, and provided strategic recommendations to help MFIs scale CSA adoption. We undertook the following tasks:
- CSA landscape assessment: We reviewed 100 CSA practices and identified 12 priority solutions, which included drip irrigation, solar pumps, no-till farming, and biodigesters. We identified the priority solutions based on productivity, climate adaptation, and economic feasibility.
- Qualitative demand assessment: We conducted field studies in Bihar, Tamil Nadu, and Uttar Pradesh to understand barriers and enablers to CSA adoption.
- CSA financing opportunities identification: We assessed how MFIs can develop customized financial products to support capital investments in technologies, such as seed drills, solar-powered irrigation, and livestock infrastructure, and provide working capital for sustainable practices, such as bio-input centers, agroforestry, and crop loans.
- MFI readiness and capacity assessment: We evaluated MFIs’ lending structures, internal processes, staff capabilities, and IT systems to determine their ability to finance CSA effectively.
This study helped initiate discussions with five MFIs on the launch of CSA financing and the development of tailored financial products to support climate-smart agriculture. Additionally, it influenced policy and investment decisions and helped create financial solutions that address both the demand and supply sides of CSA technology adoption.
AGRI3 Fund and IDH India commissioned this project.
Inclusive climate finance, climate adaptation, financial instruments
Southwestern Bangladesh is exposed to tropical cyclones and storm surges, which increase the salinity of soil and groundwater. The direct and indirect impact of cyclones and associated perils on the lives and livelihoods of poor and vulnerable communities, both rural and urban, is not well understood. We do not understand how these vulnerable communities adapt to the increased intensity and frequency of these events. We also have a limited understanding of financial services’ role in informing the adaptation strategies of these people and ways to strengthen this role.
The project sought to understand the following:
- The direct and indirect impacts of cyclones and their associated perils on the lives and livelihoods of the affected communities in southwestern Bangladesh.
- Adaptation strategies of these poor and vulnerable households and the role of financial services in those strategies.
- Pathways to enhance the role of financial services in the adaptation strategies and strengthen the resilience of these communities against climate change.
Based on the study insights, CGAP conducted a consultative workshop in Dhaka. The workshop brought together experts from the inclusive finance and climate adaptation sectors to discuss financial instruments and solutions for climate risks.
CGAP commissioned MSC to conduct this study.
Entitled is a financial service provider for more than 34 million blue-collar workers in India. It sought to enhance its understanding of customer’s financial behavior. Entitled partners with employers to offer various services, which include emergency funds, rewards, healthcare discounts, savings programs, and counseling.
MSC collaborated with Entitled to analyze mobile message data. We employed text-mining techniques to extract transaction-related information. We used this data to create detailed financial profiles of Entitled’s customers. MSC also developed an interactive tool that allows Entitled to use these functionalities for ongoing and future analysis.
Our interventions have enhanced Entitled’s ability to tailor financial services to its customers’ needs.
MSC has been providing crucial support for the monitoring, learning, and evaluation (MLE) function of the FSDU MSE Recovery Fund project. This initiative is a joint effort by the Financial Sector Deepening Uganda (FSDU) and the Mastercard Foundation (MCF). It seeks to implement a revolving fund to help micro and small enterprises (MSEs) in Uganda as they recover from the adverse effects of COVID-19.
MSC’s role includes data collection, analysis, and the management of key project performance indicators. MSC also conducts comprehensive concurrent monitoring and quantitative surveys, which engage with thousands of MSMEs to ensure the fund’s effectiveness and impact.
MSC conducted a comprehensive impact evaluation for a leading microfinance institution (MFI) in Sri Lanka. The study rigorously assessed the impact of the MFI’s loans and services on its clients with a focus on how these offerings influence and elevate their livelihoods compared to a counterfactual group.
The evaluation employed a mixed-method research approach, which incorporated a detailed portfolio analysis of the institution. Additionally, we used a difference-in-difference methodology to robustly evaluate the impact of loans and services, which ensured a thorough understanding of the MFI’s contributions to its clients’ socioeconomic well-being. The key outcomes examined include changes in income, savings, and critical social indicators, such as health, education, and economic resilience.